Publications
Below is a list of examples of Dr Sally Potter's publications relating to research on the effective communication of forecasts and warnings.
Journal Publications
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Potter, S. H., Jolly, G. E., Neall, V. E., Johnston, D. M., & Scott, B. J. (2014). Communicating the status of volcanic activity: Revising New Zealand's volcanic alert level system. Journal of Applied Volcanology, 3(13). http://www.appliedvolc.com/content/pdf/s13617-014-0013-7.pdf
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Scott, B. J., & Potter, S. H. (2014). Aspects of historical eruptive activity and volcanic unrest at Mt. Tongariro, New Zealand: 1846-2013. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 286(Special issue: Tongariro Eruption 2012), 263-276. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377027314001127
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Potter, S. H., Becker, J. S., Johnston, D. M., & Rossiter, K. P. (2015). An overview of the impacts of the 2010-2011 Canterbury Earthquakes. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 14(1), 6-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.01.014
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Potter, S. H., Scott, B. J., Jolly, G. E., Johnston, D. M., & Neall, V. E. (2015). A catalogue of caldera unrest at Taupo Volcanic Centre, New Zealand, using the Volcanic Unrest Index (VUI). Bulletin of Volcanology, 77:78. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-015-0956-5
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Potter, S. H., Scott, B. J., Jolly, G. E., Neall, V. E., & Johnston, D. M. (2015). Introducing the Volcanic Unrest Index (VUI): A tool to quantify and communicate the intensity of volcanic unrest. Bulletin of Volcanology, 77:77. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-015-0957-4
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Fraser, S. A., Doyle, E. E., Wright, K. C., Potter, S. H., McClure, J., Johnston, D., Leonard, G. S., Coomer, M. A., Becker, J., & Johal, S. (2016). Tsunami response behaviour during and following two local-source earthquakes in Wellington, New Zealand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 16, 123-133. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420916300760casa_token=reMSBBFvCXgAAAAA:AtBtoxxBQ8fOqISRbYcIgbm4ZWGxsK_6lsE-bPhNR7XES8QJZxbtUQgqXW9zOhPdKiabiC7s8wDO
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Jon, I., Lindell, M., Prater, C., Huang, S.-K., Wu, H.-C., Johnston, D., Becker, J., Shiroshita, H., Doyle, E., Potter, S., McClure, J., & Lambie, E. (2016). Behavioral Response in the Immediate Aftermath of Shaking: Earthquakes in Christchurch and Wellington, New Zealand, and Hitachi, Japan. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13(11), 1137. http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/13/11/1137
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Wein, A., Potter, S., Johal, S., Doyle, E. E., & Becker, J. (2016). Communicating with the public during an earthquake sequence: Improving communication of geoscience by coordinating roles. Seismological Research Letters, 87(1). https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150113
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Woods, R. J., McBride, S. K., Wotherspoon, L. M., Beavan, S., Potter, S. H., Johnston, D. M., Wilson, T. M., Brunsdon, D., Grace, E. S., Brackley, H., & Becker, J. S. (2017). Science to emergency management response: Kaikoura earthquakes 2016. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, 50(2), 329-337. http://www.nzsee.org.nz/db/Bulletin/Archive/50(2)0329.pdf
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Crawford, M. H., Crowley, K., Potter, S. H., Saunders, W. S. A., & Johnston, D. (2018). Risk modelling as a tool to support natural hazard risk management in New Zealand local government. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.01.011
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Potter, S. H., Kreft, P., Milojev, P., Noble, C., Montz, B., Dhellemmes, A., Woods, R. J., & Gauden-Ing, S. (2018). The influence of impact-based severe weather warnings on risk perceptions and intended protective actions. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 30(Special Issue on Weather and Communication), 34-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.03.031
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Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., McBride, S. K., Wein, A., Doyle, E. E. H., & Paton, D. (2019). When the earth doesn’t stop shaking: How experiences over time influenced information needs, communication, and interpretation of aftershock information during the Canterbury Earthquake Sequence, New Zealand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 34, 397-411. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.12.009
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Nakayachi, K., Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., & Dixon, M. (2019). Residents’ reactions to Earthquake Early Warnings in Japan. Risk Analysis, 39(8), 1723-1740. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13306
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Zhang, Q., Li, L., Ebert, B., Golding, B., Johnston, D., Mills, B., Panchuk, S., Potter, S., Riemer, M., & Sun, J. (2019). Increasing the value of weather-related warnings. Science Bulletin, 64(10), 647-649. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095927319301896
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Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., McBride, S. K., Doyle, E. E. H., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Christophersen, A. (2020). Forecasting for a fractured land: A case study of the communication and use of aftershock forecasts from the 2016 Mw7.8 Kaikoura earthquake in Aotearoa New Zealand. Seismological Research Letters, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190354
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Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Tan, M. L., Payne, B. A., Holden, C., Horspool, N., Smith, R., & Johnston, D. M. (2020). Scoping the potential for earthquake early warning in Aotearoa New Zealand: A sectoral analysis of perceived benefits and challenges. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 51, 101765. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101765
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Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., Vinnell, L. J., Nakayachi, K., McBride, S. K., & Johnston, D. M. (2020). Earthquake early warning in Aotearoa New Zealand: a survey of public perspectives to guide warning system development. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 7(1), 1-12. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-020-00613-9
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Doyle, E. E., McClure, J., Potter, S. H., Lindell, M. K., Becker, J. S., Fraser, S. A., & Johnston, D. M. (2020). Interpretations of aftershock advice and probabilities after the 2013 Cook Strait earthquake, Aotearoa New Zealand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 49, 101653. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420919317261
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Harrison, S. E., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Doyle, E. H. E., & Johnston, D. (2020). Volunteered Geographic Information for People-Centred Severe Weather Early Warning: A Literature Review. Australasian journal of disaster and trauma studies, 24(1), 3-21. https://www.massey.ac.nz/~trauma/issues/2020-1/AJDTS_24_1_full.pdf#page=5
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Harrison, S. E., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Doyle, E. E. H., & Johnston, D. (2021). ‘Where oh where is the data?’: Identifying data sources for hydrometeorological impact forecasts and warnings in Aotearoa New Zealand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 66, 102619. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102619
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Potter, S. H. (2021). Why some people don't respond to warnings: writing effective short warning messages. Australian Journal of Emergency Management, 36(1), 29-30. https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/media/8414/ajem_10_2021-01.pdf https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/resources/ajem-january-2021-why-some-people-don-t-respond-to-warnings-writing-effective-short-warning-messages/
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Potter, S. H., Harrison, S. E., & Kreft, P. (2021). The benefits and challenges of implementing impact-based severe weather warning systems: Perspectives of weather, flood, and emergency management personnel. Weather, Climate, and Society, 13(2), 303-314. https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-20-0110.1
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Harrison, S. E., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Doyle, E. E., & Johnston, D. (2022). ‘Sharing is caring’: A socio-technical analysis of the sharing and governing of hydrometeorological impact data in Aotearoa New Zealand. Progress in Disaster Science, 13, 100213. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061721000739
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Harrison, S. E., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Doyle, E. E. H., & Johnston, D. (2022). Identifying the Impact-Related Data Uses and Gaps for Hydrometeorological Impact Forecasts and Warnings. Weather, Climate, and Society, 14(1), 155-176. https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-21-0093.1
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Becker, J. S., Vinnell, L. J., McBride, S. K., Nakayachi, K., Doyle, E. E., Potter, S. H., & Bostrom, A. (2022). The Effects of Earthquake Experience on Intentions to Respond to Earthquake Early Warnings. Frontiers in Communication, 144. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcomm.2022.857004/full
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Clive, M. A. T., Doyle, E. E. H., Potter, S. H., Noble, C., & Johnston, D. M. (2023). How Visual Design of Severe Weather Outlooks Can Affect Communication and Decision-Making. Weather, Climate, and Society, 15(4), 979-997. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-23-0010.1
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Golding, B., Ebert, E., Hoffmann, D., & Potter, S. (2023). Preparing for the unprecedented. Advances in Scientific Research, 20, 85-90. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-20-85-2023
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Hoffmann, D., Ebert, E. E., Mooney, C., Golding, B., & Potter, S. (2023). Using value chain approaches to evaluate the end-to-end warning chain. Advances in Scientific Research, 20, 73-79. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-20-73-2023
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Harrison, S. E., Potter, S. H., Prasanna, R., Doyle, E. E., & Johnston, D. (2024). Nurturing partnerships to support data access for impact forecasts and warnings: Theoretical integration and synthesis. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 104395. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924001572
Book Chapters
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Leonard, G. S., & Potter, S. H. (2015). Developing effective communication tools for volcanic hazards in New Zealand, using social science. In S. C. Loughlin, S. Sparks, S. K. Brown, S. F. Jenkins, & C. Vye-Brown (Eds.), Global volcanic hazards and risk (pp. 305-310). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316276273
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Becker, J. S., Leonard, G. J., Potter, S. H., Coomer, M. A., Paton, D., Wright, K. C., & Johnston, D. M. (2018). Organisational response to the 2007 Ruapehu Crater Lake dam-break lahar in New Zealand: Use of communication in creating an effective response. In C. Fearnley, D. K. Bird, G. E. Jolly, & K. Haynes (Eds.), Observing the volcano world: Volcano crisis communication. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F11157_2016_38
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Potter, S. H., Scott, B. J., Fearnley, C. J., Leonard, G. S., & Gregg, C. E. (2018). Challenges and benefits of standardising Early Warning Systems: A case study of New Zealand's Volcanic Alert Level System. In C. J. Fearnley, D. Bird, G. Jolly, K. Haynes, & B. McGuire (Eds.), Observing the Volcano World: Volcanic Crisis Communication (pp. 601-620). Springer. https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/11157_2017_18.pdf
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Scolobig, A., Potter, S., Kox, T., Kaltenberger, R., Weyrich, P., Chasco, J., Golding, B., Hilderbrand, D., Fleischhut, N., Uprety, D., & Rana, B. (2022). Connecting Warning with Decision and Action: A Partnership of Communicators and Users. In B. Golding (Ed.), Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning: Bridging Disciplinary Gaps through Partnership and Communication (pp. 47-85). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98989-7_3
Thesis
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Potter, S. H. (2014). Communicating the status of volcanic activity in New Zealand, with specific application to caldera unrest. Massey University. Wellington, New Zealand. http://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/5654
Reports
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Johnston, D. M., Becker, J. S., Jolly, G. E., Potter, S. H., Wilson, T., Stewart, C., & Cronin, S. J. (2011). Volcanic hazards management at Taranaki Volcano: information source book. GNS Science Report 2011/37.
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Potter, S. H., Scott, B. J., & Jolly, G. E. (2012). Caldera unrest management sourcebook. GNS Science Report 2012/12.
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Saunders, W. S. A., Potter, S. H., Wright, K. C., Beban, J. G., Becker, J. S., & McBride, S. K. (2013). Natural hazard risk communication toolkit. GNS Science consultancy report 2013/163. http://www.civildefence.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/NHRCToolbox/NHRCToolbox-Auckland-Council.pdf
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Fournier, N., & Potter, S. H. (2014). Taupo caldera, New Zealand: volcano monitoring and unrest management strategy. GNS Science consultancy report 2014/59.
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Doyle, E. E. H., & Potter, S. H. (2015). Methodology for the development of a probability translation table for GeoNet (GNS Science report 2015/67). GNS Science report 2015/67. http://shop.gns.cri.nz/methodology-for-the-development-of-a-probability-translation-table-for-geonet/
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Becker, J. S., Potter, S. H., McBride, S. K., Gerstenberger, M. C., & Christophersen, A. (2016). Effective communication of Operational Earthquake Forecasts (OEFs): Findings from a New Zealand workshop. GNS Science Report 2016/45.
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Dhellemmes, A., Leonard, G. S., Potter, S., Keys, H., Tovey, J., Smith, B., Roux, M., & Marsden, R. (2016). Visitors preparedness for the Tongariro Alpine Crossing. GNS Science Report 2016/56.
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Leonard, G. S., Woods, R. J., Becker, J. S., & Potter, S. H. (2016). GWRC flood warning review phases 2 & 3: Recommendations from comparison of existing system to proposed Level of Service. GNS Science Report 2016:66.
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Potter, S. H., Kreft, P. V., Milojev, P., Noble, C., Montz, B., Dhellemmes, A., & WREMO. (2017). Impact-based severe weather warnings in New Zealand: Survey data. GNS Science Report 2017/01. http://shop.gns.cri.nz/publications/science-reports/2016-to-current/2017/
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Potter, S. H. (2018). Intended responses to a tsunami evacuation message using Emergency Mobile Alerts in New Zealand. GNS Science Report 2018/14. https://shop.gns.cri.nz/sr_2018-014/
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Potter, S. H. (2018). Recommendations for New Zealand agencies in writing effective short warning messages. GNS Science Report 2018/02. GNS Science Report 2018/02. http://dx.doi.org/10.21420/G20H08
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Massey, C. I., Potter, S. H., Leonard, G. S., Strawbridge, G., Rosser, B. J., & de Vilder, S. (2019). Awatarariki catchment debris flow early warning system framework. GNS Science Report 2019/77.
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Potter, S. H., Harrison, S. E., Thomas, K.-L., Leonard, G. S., Skilton, J., Apiti, M., Balfour, N. J., Harvey, S., Coomer, M. A., & Kilgour, G. N. (2020). Connecting real-time hazard and impact data with users: proof of concept of a visualisation tool. GNS Science Report 2020:22.
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Kaiser, L. H., Scheele, F. R., Potter, S. H., Coomer, M. A., & Stewart, J. (2021). February 2020 Southland flooding evacuation and response: Results of a survey. GNS Science Report 2021/30.
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Massey, C. I., Lukovic, B., Huso, R., Buxton, R., & Potter, S. H. (2021). Earthquake-induced landslide forecast tool for New Zealand: version 2.0. GNS Science Report 2018/08.
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Harrison, S.E.; Potter, S.H.; Lawson, R.V.; Griffin, A.G. (2022) Understanding the data management needs for crowdsourcing New Zealand’s hazards. Lower Hutt, NZ: GNS Science. GNS Science report 2022/27. 71 p.; doi: 10.21420/V9QJ-M190
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Lawson, R.V.; Potter, S.H.; Harrison, S.E.; Clark, K.J.; Clive, M.A.; Charlton, D.H.; Burbidge, D.R.; Kilgour, G.N. (2023) Crowdsourced tsunami and sound observations in Aotearoa New Zealand following the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) eruption on 15 January 2022. Lower Hutt, NZ: GNS Science. GNS Science report 2022/26. 167 p.; doi: 10.21420/6JXP-RM04
Conference Proceedings
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Corwin, K., Johnston, D., Wilson, T., Stewart, C., Jensen, S., Wardman, J., Brand, B., McBride, S., Leonard, G. J., Potter, S., & Houghton, B. (2014). Community understanding of volcanic risk in Central and Eastern Washington. 39th Annual Natural Hazards Research and Applications Workshop, Broomfield, Colorado.
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Christophersen, A., Rhoades, D., Gerstenberger, M., Bannister, S., Becker, J., Potter, S., & McBride, S. (2017). Progress and challenges in operational earthquake forecasting in New Zealand New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, Rotorua, NZ. http://db.nzsee.org.nz/2017/O3C.4_Christophersen.pdf
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McBride, S., Michael, A., Wein, A., Hardebeck, J., Becker, J., Potter, S., Perry, S., Page, M., Gerstenberger, M., Field, N., & van der Elst, N. (2018). Developing earthquake forecast templates for fast and effective communication National Conference of Earthquake Engineering, Los Angeles, California, USA. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Sara_Mcbride3/publication/335686977_Developing_earthquake_forecast_templates_for_fast_and_effective_communication/links/5d75299c4585151ee4a88126/Developing-earthquake-forecast-templates-for-fast-and-effective-communication.pdf
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Harrison, S.; Kaiser, L.H.; Potter, S.; Johnston, D.; Lawson, R.V. (2023). Understanding boaties’ needs for tsunami warnings in Aotearoa New Zealand : a post-event case study of the 15 January 2022 volcanic eruption-induced tsunami. p. 100 In: Geoscience Society of New Zealand Annual Conference, 13th November - 16th November 2023, Victoria University, Wellington : conference abstracts. Wellington, NZ: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. Geoscience Society of New Zealand miscellaneous publication 164A
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Lawson, R.V.; Potter, S.H.; Harrison, S.; Charlton, D.H.; Thompson, M.A. (2023) Co-designing a new crowdsourcing volcano observation survey, data sharing capacity and public maps for Aotearoa New Zealand. p. 619 In: IAVCEI 2023 Scientific Assembly : Ko Ruamoko e Ngunguru Nei : 30 Jan - 3 Feb, Rotorua, New Zealand : book of abstracts. Wellington, NZ: Conference & Events Ltd.
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Potter, S.H. (2023) The future of forecasts and warnings. p. 858 In: IAVCEI 2023 Scientific Assembly : Ko Ruamoko e Ngunguru Nei : 30 Jan - 3 Feb, Rotorua, New Zealand : book of abstracts. Wellington, NZ: Conference & Events Ltd.